Someone look up the figures for *.com, *.org, and *.net for the months of October, November, December of 2001. My sources has a significant decline in registered domain names.
When I speak of dying, golden egg, I am looking at it from the perspective of a web serfer. Hosting a freebee site and depending on ads is out, all those pop-ups and activeX banners are good for crashing your browser and taking weeks to accomplish catching a wave.
If I am looking at making a moderate to high value purchase, I do a web search. One can generally save a few tens of dollars on a few hundred dollar purchase by utilizing the web. The problem is finding what you want, most search engines have gone nuts.
Case in point, I wanted to find out the molecular structure for urea, so I did a web search on infoseek. Got a bunch of ads to buy urea from waldenbooks and etc. Let's get real, waldenbooks doesn't sell urea. It's a fertilizer which I use to melt ice on pavement so the salt doesn't destroy the concrete.
When was the last time any of you readers clicked on a banner ad and filled out the questionare? When was the last time you clicked on a banner ad and purchased what was being advertised? 'freebee' sites to entice visitors so they can put up with the banner ads is a thing of the past. A product or service properly indexed in a popular, decent search engine is how one can utilize the web to make a profit.
Having your servers indexed by the popular and good search engines is a value added for your clients. Google religously goes through my server once a month, following 'robots.txt' restrictions. fastsearch.com goes through my site once a week and does not index it in their search engine (damned if I know why they take the trouble to pull every document on my server out and ignore the 'robots.txt' restrictions if they are not going to index it).
No, the fun and games is declining rapidly, and an example of why is the ads for hair regeneration products on a site dedicated to the Native Americans. Geez, did you ever see a bald Indian? Not even targeting their audience with the damned activeX banners.
The 'web' is going to become a sterilized, controlled tool used to market goods and virtual private networking. Companies large enough to have masses of data requiring large database capabilities are going to have their own servers, so that one is kind of out.
The Feds will take control of the net in a pretty big way in the next few years, no doubt about it. Monitoring of net activities has become a major objective of our government. Controlling portions of it will be the next big step, probably licensing people like they license businesses, electricians, and ham radio operators.
Money to be made, yes, but the heyday is over.
theswampfox